美国经济从对华服务贸易和投资中得到的好处【外文翻译】(编辑修改稿)

美国经济从对华服务贸易和投资中得到的好处【外文翻译】(编辑修改稿)内容摘要：

determined by such factors as the appetite for savings in the United States, pared to other countries, and its magnitude will not be affected by bilateral trade flows with any single country. There is, however, another way in which US service sector exports to China can make a permanent contribution to US GDP. Indeed, service sector exports to China support employment in relatively highproductivity and highwage sectors of the US economy. According to Oxford Economics Ltd. estimates for 2020, exports of “other private services” to China support a number of roughly37,000 highproductivity jobs in the United States. This provides a permanent boost to US GDP, worth around $460 million in 2020. China’s implementation of its World Trade Organization (WTO) mitments will continue to benefit the United States in the future. In the baseline forecast, in which China honors all of its WTO service mitments, US service sector exports to China will increase to $45billion by 2020, while the US surplus on services trade with China will increase to $15 billion, or percent of US GDP. On top of that, inflows of ine from US service sector affiliates in China will increase to around $ billion by the impacts on US productivity will also increase, as service sector trade and investment in China contribute a projected $ billion to US GDP in growth in service sector trade with China and inflows of profits from service sector investments in China together will also support more rapid growth in service sector employment in the United States. In the baseline forecast, these effects bine to create an additional 60,000 service sector jobs in the United States by the outstanding impediments to service sector growth in China were fully removed, the bilateral services trades surplus with China would increase to around $60 billion by 2020, supplemented by extra ine derived from US servicerelated investments in China worth $7 billion. This would boost US GDP in the short term by about percent. The average US household would be better off by about $500 per year in 2020 as a result of this growth in services trade with China. The removal of all impediments to growth in services trade and investment with China would also create up to 240,000highpaying US service sector jobs by2020, accounting for percent of the growth in US service sector employment between 2020 and 2020. The effects in 2020 do not capture the longrun impact of services trade and investment with China on the US economy. The Chinese market for services will have grown substantially by 2020, but th。