外文翻译-----物流金融的风险评估和早期预警系统-金融财政(编辑修改稿)

外文翻译-----物流金融的风险评估和早期预警系统-金融财政(编辑修改稿)内容摘要：

y of risk event( P) and the consequences caused by risk event( C) are determined by unascertained theory and fuzzy method respectively, finally the total risk would be calculated by synthetic function of value P and value C. After referencing to other literatures, risk grade can be classified into three grades. Usually, risk value above shows risk grade is higher, when risk value lies between risk grade is medium, and risk value below shows risk grade is lower[51. The risk value of the logistics finance in this example is which belongs to to , therefore, the logistics finance risk is medium, but is close to ,requiring mercial banks and logistics enterprise to pay attention to prevent and control risk momentarily. Next, we analyze the risk value of five criteria and put forward the preventive measures on risk of logistics finance. Firstly, the risk value of the Credit risk of the customer corporation(B1) is which is close to , illustrating that the risks of the professional ability of customer enterprise(C1) and the credit rating of customer enterprise(C2) are relatively high,logistics enterprise should strengthen the credit and capability audit and supervision of customer enterprises. When mercial bank or logisticsenterprise choose the coporators, they should avoid those panies which have weak professional ability and high assetliability ratio, and observe the default of customer enterprises in history. Secondly, the risk value of the collateral risk(B2) is shows that its risk degree is medium. Logistics enterprises can reduce the collateral risk by following measures: First of all, logistics enterprise should ensure the owership of collateral, put an end to those smuggling and defective modity as collateral。 Secondly, it is important to standardize the manipulation process of warehousing to reduce the modity damaged。 Thirdly, Utilizing the advanced methods to forecast the future price of collateral and analyze the stability of collateral market。 Finally, it is also necessary to insure for collateral which is the best measure to disperse risk for logistics enterprise. Thirdly, the risk value of technical risk(B3) is which is near to , illustrating that the technical risk is relatively higher for this logistics enterprise, so the logistics enterprise should pay more attention to their technic。